Consultant - Early Warning Scoping - Remote

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  • Added Date: Tuesday, 12 December 2023
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Description

Background:

Mercy Corps is a leading global organization powered by the belief that a better world is possible. In disaster, in hardship, in more than 40 countries around the world, we partner to put bold solutions into action โ€” helping people triumph over adversity and build stronger communities from within.

The Research and Learning Team at Mercy Corps has been testing how remittances can be used as a tool for anticipatory action to mitigate the impacts of tropical cyclones in Central America. In partnership with a financial service provider, Mercy Corps has designed a service through which individuals in the United States, who routinely send remittances to Central America, receive early warning messages and a small incentive to send money to friends and family in the projected storm path before the storm impacts the area. This model calls on diaspora networks and cross-boundary households to help vulnerable households prepare for climate disasters by sending well-timed remittances.

Purpose / Project Description:

Decisions on anticipatory action depend on timely and accessible early warning information. For tropical cyclones in the Western Hemisphere, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is the leading authority on weather data and forecasts. The trigger for anticipatory action in this project is based on NHC forecast monitoring, which the team has automated to send emails at defined pre-trigger and trigger thresholds. These emails contain relevant weather data and forecasts, with links to original sources, to inform project decisions and ultimately determine when to send messages to project participants. In the third year of the study, we are planning to build upon this automated forecast monitoring to not only include the most up-to-date forecast information, but also local impacts. This is intended to serve the Remittances for Anticipatory Action project, as well as other Mercy Corps teams working in Central America, South America, and the Caribbean.

Consultant Objectives:

To improve this projectโ€™s monitoring and support future anticipatory action and early action initiatives in the region, we are looking for an early warning system expert to:

  1. Provide an overview of (a) existing sources of early warning information for tropical cyclones in the Caribbean Basin and Eastern Pacific regions and (b) reliable information sources on local impacts from local and international actors.
  2. Identify gaps in existing early warning products based on analysis of a rubric with the following criteria: timing, format, access, audience, language, ability to access historical data, level of geographical data, and data sharing and interoperability. Key questions under each criterion include:
    1. Timing: When is data available in relation to the (expected) impacts of the tropical cyclone? When is data first available in the pre-impact phase, and how does this align with the lead time required for anticipatory action?
    2. Format: Is information in the form of a dashboard, an excel sheet, an email subscription, a tweet, etc.? How user-friendly is the format?
    3. Access: Is the data open access?
    4. Source: Where does the productโ€™s data come from?
    5. Audience: Who is this product intended for?
    6. Language: What language is the data in?
    7. Ability to access historical data: Can historical data be pulled? What is the granularity of historical data?
    8. Level of geographic data: What level of geographical detail does the data provide: national, departmental, municipal, etc.? Does the product provide sufficient granularity to address the localized nature of impacts?
    9. Data sharing and interoperability: Is the data in a format that can be pulled automatically into a new early warning product? Will it require cleaning?
    10. Provide recommendations for the creation of a new early warning product for humanitarian actors to receive information on forecasts and impacts sooner and more easily.
    11. Co-draft the list of specifications for this new early warning product with the Remittances for Anticipatory Action study team.

      Consultant Activities:

      The Consultant will:

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